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タイトル
  • ja 気候変動の影響を考慮したインドネシアKahayan川における長期水位予測
  • en STUDY ON LONG-TERM FORECASTS OF WATER LEVELS FOR THE KAHAYAN RIVER IN INDONESIA CONSIDERING THE INFLUENCE OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGES
作成者
    • ja 吉田, ちあき en YOSHIDA, Chiaki ja-Kana ヨシダ, チアキ
    • ja 中津川, 誠 en NAKATSUGAWA, Makoto ja-Kana ナカツガワ, マコト
    • ja 工藤, 俊 en KUDO, Syun ja-Kana クドウ, シュン
アクセス権 open access
権利情報
  • ja © 2015 土木学会
主題
  • NDC 517
  • Other ja 雨量予測
  • Other ja 水位予測
  • Other ja Nearest-Neighber法
  • Other ja 気候変動
  • Other ja 海面水温
  • Other en Rainfall forecast
  • Other en Water level forecast
  • Other en Nearest-Neighber Method
  • Other en Climate Changes
  • Other en Sea Surface Temperature
内容注記
  • Other application/pdf
  • Abstract en The purpose of this study is to forecast rainfall and river water levels for the Kahayan River in Indonesia and to provide the forecast information to mitigate peat fires. Specifically, rainfall prediction was done first by using the rainfall values observed on the land surface, the dataset provided by the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and the Nearest-Neighbor Method (NNM). Then, water level prediction was done by inputting the predicted rainfall values into the hydrological model. In forecasting the water level, climate changes such as those related to El Niño were taken into consideration by incorporating the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) into the forecast factors. The accuracy of water level forecasts at times of low water in the dry season with scant rainfall was improved by using the lower limit value of predicted rainfall based on the error evaluation. It was demonstrated that long-term water level forecasts with 1- to 3-month lead times were able to be done with reasonable accuracy.
出版者 ja 土木学会
日付
    Issued2015
言語
  • jpn
資源タイプ journal article
出版タイプ VoR
資源識別子 HDL http://hdl.handle.net/10258/00010075 , URI https://muroran-it.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/10128
関連
  • isIdenticalTo NAID 130005123572
  • isIdenticalTo DOI https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejhe.71.I_343
  • isVersionOf URI https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jscejhe/71/4/71_58/_pdf/-char/ja
収録誌情報
    • EISSN 2185-467X
      • ja 土木学会論文集B1(水工学) en Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)
      • 71 4 開始ページI_343 終了ページI_348
ファイル
コンテンツ更新日時 2023-12-15