| タイトル |
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ja
近年発生した極端豪雨に対する数値予報降雨の適用性について
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en
CLARIFYING THE ACCURACY OF NUMERIC RAINFALL FORECASTS TO EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS
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| 作成者 |
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-
ja
沖, 岳大
en
OKI, Takehiro
ja-Kana
オキ, タケヒロ
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-
ja
中津川, 誠
en
NAKATSUGAWA, Makoto
ja-Kana
ナカツガワ, マコト
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| アクセス権 |
open access |
| 権利情報 |
|
| 主題 |
-
NDC
517
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Other
ja
降雨予測
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Other
ja
数値気象予測モデル
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Other
en
GSM
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Other
en
MSM
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Other
ja
極端豪雨
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Other
en
Rainfall forecast
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Other
en
Numerical weather forecast model
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Other
en
GSM
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Other
en
MSM
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Other
en
Extremely heavy rainfall
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| 内容注記 |
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Other
application/pdf
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Abstract
en
In recent years, refinement in the accuracy of rainfall forecasting has been called for in Japan because of extremely heavy rainfalls that have occurred in various areas. For dam operation in particular, accurate rainfall forecasting would be greatly beneficial in allowing for the release of water prior to a forecast heavy rainfall event, which would make it possible to increase water control and water use capacities. Comparison of the cumulative rainfall forecasts calculated by using the numerical weather forecast models, GSM and MSM, with actually measured rainfall revealed that the accuracy of the two models was good for long period rainfall events such as those caused by typhoons. The accuracy of the MSM rainfall forecast for localized heavy rainfall that occurs in a short period was also found to be good. A calibration method, which can be used in disaster mitigation and dam operations, was suggested thorough clarification of the error ranges of rainfall forecasting.
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| 出版者 |
ja
土木学会
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| 日付 |
|
| 言語 |
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| 資源タイプ |
journal article |
| 出版タイプ |
VoR |
| 資源識別子 |
HDL
http://hdl.handle.net/10258/00009755
,
URI
https://muroran-it.repo.nii.ac.jp/records/9807
|
| 関連 |
-
isIdenticalTo
NAID
130005123446
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isIdenticalTo
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejhe.71.I_1297
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isVersionOf
URI
https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jscejhe/71/4/71_217/_pdf/-char/ja
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| 収録誌情報 |
-
-
PISSN
2185-467X
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NCID
AA12373113
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ja
土木学会論文集B1（水工学）
en
Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)
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巻71
号4
開始ページI_1297
終了ページI_1302
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| ファイル |
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| コンテンツ更新日時 |
2023-12-29 |
